Taking a Look at the Exit Polls

November 4, 2008 at 7:00 pm (Polls) (, , , , )

This post will be updated over the next hour with information from the first wave of Exit Polls. Information courtesy of CNN .

The first round of Exit Polls has been released. Here are the first polls for your reading:

Top Issue Across the Nation?

Economy – 62%
Iraq – 10%
Terrorism – 9%
Health Care – 9%

What does this mean?

Not good news for Senator McCain as many feel like that Senator Obama is better equipped to handle our economy. Over the past 6-8 weeks, Economy has overtaken the top spot that voters care about. If this is a precursor for the evening, then it could signal to the landslide that some felt like was inevitable.

Who is Better Equipped to Handle Iraq?

People who felt like Iraq was their most important issue voted 63% for Senator Obama and 36% for Senator McCain. In Rhode Island, Seantor Obama won by 70%. Meanwhile, states like Kentucky felt Senator McCain was better equipped to handle Iraq and got 56% of the vote in that state. Still drilling through information.

Who is Better Equipped to Handle Terrorism?

Considered a small issue, only 9% feel like it’s their main issue, and 86% of the voters feel like Senator McCain is better equipped to handle Terrorism. In Pennsylvania, 88% of the voters who felt like Terrorism was their main issue, voted for Senator McCain. This was a huge issue in 2004, but isn’t viewed as a big one now with the economy going the way it is.

How Are New Voters Voting?

72% of New Voters are voting for Senator Obama across the United States. States such as Louisiana, Georgia, and California are seeing new voters picking Senator Obama as well. This isn’t a huge surprise as Democrats and Senator Obama have done a rather great job of getting new voters registered and into the election sites. Remember, Obama has also been controlling the younger demographic, which is where you’re seeing a lot of new voters as well as African-Americans who have never voted before.

How Did the Candidates Fare on Economy?

Nationwide, 93% feel like the Economy is Not So Good. Meanwhile, 47% do feel like that the Economy will get better. 70% feel like Senator Obama will raise their taxes while 61% feel like Senator McCain will raise their taxes.

How Did Higher Income Individuals Vote?

Roughly half of the states voted for Senator McCain while the other half voted for Senator Obama. As a whole, 52% of the voters voted for Senator Obama while Senator McCain gained 47% of the voters that were polled. In Ohio, Senator McCain received 57% while Senator Obama received 43%. In Colorado, Senator Obama received 55% while Senator McCain received 44%.

How Did Evangelical Voters Vote?

A majority of those voters went to Senator McCain, as 72% voted for McCain while 26% voted for Obama. However, it’s less than what President Bush received in 2004 by 6 points. However, McCain does have the overall edge over Senator Obama, with the biggest in states like Mississippi.

Why Did Vermont Go to Obama?

The reason why Senator Obama is that the state has turned Blue. He won in nearly every category except for Conservatives and Republicans.

Why Did Kentucky Go for McCain?

The reason why Senator McCain won the state is that it’s a traditional Red state. He won most categories, getting White Voters 63% to 36%, Rural Voters 63% to 36%, and 18-24 Year Olds 50% to 48%.

More to come around 6:15PM.

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Last Minute Predictions

November 4, 2008 at 6:15 pm (Commentary, Polls) (, , , )

With the first set of polls closing, I want to take one final look at the Electoral Map and make final predictions before states are called at 7PM EST. So, let’s take a look at our final states and make some final calls on these remaining states.

Arizona (10)
Florida (27)
Indiana (11)
Missouri (11)
Montana (11)
North Carolina (15)
North Dakota (3)
Ohio (20)
Virginia (13)

These are the final states that I’ve designated as the states that will change the course of this election. Now, even though I’ve called it for Senator Obama, anything could happen in the final hours and every state will count! Now, the states are going to break down like this for each candidate:

Senator Obama:

Florida
North Carolina
Ohio
Virginia

Senator McCain:

Arizona
Indiana
Missouri
Montana
North Dakota

This would give Senator Obama the following states:

California (55)
Colorado (9)
Conneticut (7)
District of Colombia (3)
Delaware (3)
Florida (27)
Hawaii (4)
Illinois (21)
Iowa (7)
Maine (4)
Maryland (10)
Massachusetts (12)
Michigan (17)
Minnesota (10)
Nevada (5)
New Hampshire (4)
New Jersey (15)
New Mexico (5)
New York (31)
North Carolina (15)
Ohio: (20)
Oregon (7)
Pennsylvania (21)
Rhode Island (4)
Vermont (3)
Virginia (13)
Washington (11)
Wisconsin (11)

Meanwhile, we’ve given Senator McCain the following states:

Arkansas (3)
Alaska (9)
Arizona (10)
Georgia (15)
Idaho (4)
Indiana (11)
Kansas (6)
Kentucky (8)
Louisiana (9)
Mississippi (6)
Missouri (11)
Montana (11)
Nebraska (5)
North Dakota (3)
Oklahoma (7)
South Carolina (8)
South Dakota (3)
Tennessee (11)
Texas (34)
Utah (5)
West Virginia (5)
Wyoming (3)

That would bring the Electoral College count to:

Senator Obama: 353 Electoral Votes
Senator McCain: 187 Electoral Votes

Of course, anything could honestly happen, but based off of polling, traditional voting, and turn out to this point, this is what it is looking at. We’ll be updating all of this as the evening goes, bringing you the latest information as we get it. I’m also going to predict a percentage for the popular vote:

Senator Obama: 52%
Senator McCain: 47%

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Over a Million Expected at Obama Rally

November 4, 2008 at 5:29 pm (Morning News) (, , )

Chicago will be home to one of the most electric rallies tonight, which is where Senator Obama will either concede the victory or accept his victory. Fox News Reports:

“City officials said as many as 1 million people are expected at Grant Park to hold a rally for the Democratic presidential candidate that supporters hope will become a historic victory celebration. Chicago Mayor Richard Daley told reporters that the evening will be emotional.

“He comes across to me as being the people’s president,” Illinois’ Secretary of State Jesse White said. “The one who has love in his heart for everyone. He’s a breath of fresh air. This country needs him and this world needs him.”

Security at the event is expected to extremely tight, with bulletproof windows on both sides of the podium where Obama will deliver his remarks. Secret Service agents, along with Chicago police, will monitor the crowd.

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Last Minute Analysis

November 4, 2008 at 5:00 pm (Blogs) (, , , )

- Jack Cafferty of CNN Asks if We Need to Change the Way We Elect the President?: “Record turnout is expected today for voters lining up to choose one new president as well as 35 new Senators, 435 Congressmen and 11 Governors. For some, casting a ballot today means waiting in long lines, sometimes in cold, wet weather. Damp ballots were actually to blame for delays at a handful of polling places in Virginia and North Carolina today.”

- Vaughn Ververs of CBS News Has Ten Questions for Election Day: “Nearly two years after the 2008 campaign officially began, Election Day is finally here. The path from there (when John Edwards announced his candidacy in December of 2006) to here has been unpredictable at times and unprecedented in so many ways. No matter what happens, history will be made when the voters have had their say and elect either the first black president or the first woman vice president.”

- Ben Smith and Jonathan Martin of Politico Talks about the Curtain Finally Falling: “They should, by all rights, have entered Election Day with their moods matching the polls: Barack Obama elated by his seemingly substantial lead and large crowds, John McCain demoralized by the specter of defeat and meager turnout. But in the final hours of a campaign that has seldom gone according to script, the candidates’ moods and their campaigns’ demeanor – quite fittingly – didn’t follow the expectations. Obama seemed almost unsteady amid the emotional barrage of the end of the campaign and his grandmother’s death, while his aides held fast to solid, positive early voting numbers with a mood one Chicago staffer described as “cautiously nauseous.”

- Carl Cannon of Reader’s Digest Looks at Four Possible Election Night Scenarios: “One more day to go in the presidential derby. An historic election, to be sure, with some high moments, and too many low ones. We’ve had trivial debates over the flag pins (or lack thereof) on Barack Obama’s lapel, and snarky comments about the source of Sarah Palin’s clothes. We’ve listened to more discussion, it seems, about the candidates’ résumés than on how they would fix the economy-or bring the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq to a satisfactory result. Liberals complain about Republicans’ heavy-handed campaign tactics. The conservative rebuttal is that the media elites have been arrayed against them in an uncommonly partisan way. Neither complaint is wrong.”

- Courtney Martin of the American Prospect Talks About Why American Youth Will Vote: “Let’s just clear the air. There are a lot of reasons to be skeptical about electoral politics. Especially if you, like me, have only voted in two presidential elections that were both highly contested, dragged out affairs involving hanging chads, smug Bushes, and a cowardly Congress. And even if you didn’t have the opportunity to vote in those deflating, hang-over inducing debacles, you watched it happen. You were a greasy-faced adolescent, part of a generation raised on “save the world” rhetoric and compulsory community service. You stole your mom’s “I Voted” sticker and stuck it on your messenger bag. You dreamed of going behind those secret curtains and pulling the lever yourself. And then you learned about the electoral college and voter fraud and it all seemed like a whole lot of hype.”

- Patrick Ruffini of The Next Right Says This is The First Internet Election: “None of this would have been possible had Obama not been the cult figure we first saw at the 2004 Democratic convention. Had it been another candidate with the 25-person new media team, the corporate graphic design team in-house, a founder of Facebook on staff, the millions spent on search marketing alone, we still would have applauded, but it wouldn’t have been the same. Because there has to be something organically right about it for it to work. This is why some candidates and causes catch on online and others just don’t, despite trying every tactic in the book.”

- Arianna Huffington of the Huffington Post is Ready to Delcare a Winner in the Race: “Okay, all the arguments have been made. And I am ready to declare a winner in the 2008 race. The Internet. While discussing with a friend an election night viewing party he’s throwing, he announced there would be “televisions all over the place.” “That’s great,” I said, “but just make sure the WiFi is working.” Because this year, the laptop has replaced the television as the must-have election night device. Of course, we want the TVs, too — but mostly just to see how the results are covered, what the anchors are saying, when they call it, how the winners and losers react, and how crazy John King gets with his Magic Wall. For real time results, however, the Internet will be the go-to destination.”

- Richard Schiff of The West Wing Fame Wonders What Will Be: “We are on the verge of an historical, seismic shift here in America. I write this as we citizens begin lining up by rights, today, to affect outcomes of world events not yet ready to unfold. The pundits are in full form figuring the scenarios and measuring their likelihood. People stop me on the street and ask me what it looks like. They ask me what will be. There is little debate left in our lungs–we are out of breath, exhausted and exhilarated and wondering what will be.”

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A Busy Cup in the Afternoon: November 4th

November 4, 2008 at 4:36 pm (Morning News) (, , , , )

Just a few short hours until the first polls begin to close and there feels like a million things to write about. We’re going to take it nice and slow here as we get closer and closer, hoping not to overwhelm anyone that might be reading the blog today. So, let’s take a look at the news stories that are popping up at this hour.

- Voter Fraud in Philly, Repeat of 2004: “GOP Election Board members have been tossed out of polling stations in at least half a dozen polling stations in Philadelphia because of their party status. A Pennsylvania judge previously ruled that court-appointed poll watchers could be NOT removed from their boards by an on-site election judge, but that is exactly what is happening, according to sources on the ground. It is the duty of election board workers to monitor and guard the integrity of the voting process.”

- Sarah Palin Discusses Her Future: “Sarah Palin appeared calm and confident Tuesday morning during her brief sojourn to Wasilla, Alaska, where she greeted hometown supporters and cast her ballot before departing for Phoenix to join John McCain for an election night rally. The governor voted shortly after 7 a.m. at her former workplace, Wasilla City Hall. According to the National Weather Service, the temperature at the time was 18 degrees. Wearing jeans and accompanied by her husband Todd, Palin told reporters who had gathered to watch her vote that she is “very optimistic.”

- Joe the Plumber Not Optimistic About Senator McCain’s Chances: “Joe the Plumber conceded Monday night that Republican John McCain has a slim chance of defeating Democrat Barack Obama in the race for the White House. Joe Wurzelbacher, the unemployed Ohio plumber who was thrust into the national spotlight in late September after quizzing Mr. Obama about his tax policy, made his prediction on the upcoming presidential election while be interviewed on Inside the Beltway Radio (www.washingtontimes.com).”

- What Results Will Be Interesting Tonight: “We’ll be providing updates throughout the night on The Fix — news! analysis! insight! you’ll laugh! you’ll cry! — but in the long dark tea time between now and when the polls start to close, check out our election viewer’s guide. We’ve broken down the key states, congressional districts and counties you need to watch on an hour by hour basis. Enjoy and remember to tune into The Fix tonight for all the news you need to know on Election 2008.”

- 5 More Things To Watch For Tonight: “Veteran pols know that you don’t need to stay up all night watching election returns or listening to the TV pundits to get a feel for which way the political winds are blowing. There are certain places to watch and clues to look for over the course of the evening that will provide strong signals about the eventual winners and losers. Here is Politico’s guide to five key things to keep an eye on.”

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The ‘Other’ Races We’re Looking At

November 4, 2008 at 3:11 pm (General) ()

Sure, we have a major Presidential Race going on right now, but at the same time, we have some very important Senatorial and House races happening today as well. The race for Senate seats is one that’s taken a backseat to his historical race, but every now and then you’ll hear someone talking about the Democrats getting 60 seats. If they do, then Democrats would have a filibuster-proof Senate. In order to do that, Democrats would have to win a number of races. Today, there are 35 Senate races, but here are 10 that are considered to be ones where a seat could change. Let’s take a look at what these ten races are:

1) Virginia – Mark Warner (D) vs. Jim Gilmore (R)

Snapshot: Warner and Gilmore are two former Governor’s looking to succeed John Warner, a Republican Senator.
Predicted Warner: Mark Warner (28.6 point lead)

2) New Mexico – Tom Udall (D) vs. Steve Pearce (R)

Snapshot: Currently, Senator Pete Domenici holds the seat as a Republican, but isn’t looking to run for re-election, opening this seat up for Udall and Pearce.
Predicted Winner: Tom Udall (D) (14.6 point lead)

3) Colorado – Mark Udall (D) vs. Bob Schaffer (R)

Snapshot: Wayne Allard, Republican Senator, announced in January 2007 that he would not run for re-election. Udall and Schaffer avoided contested primaries and are now facing down for Allard’s seat.
Predicted Winner: Tom Udall (D) (12.5 point lead)

4) Alaska – Mark Begich (D) vs. Ted Stevens (R)

Snapshot: Stevens, recently convicted for fraud, is looking at a difficult re-election race with facing time in prison. Begich is the Democratic Mayor of Anchorage and is viewed to be the man to knock Stevens off of his seat.
Predicted Winner: Mark Begich (D) (10.3 point lead)

5) New Hampshire – Jeanne Shaheen (D) vs. John Sununu (R)

Snapshot: In 2002, these two faced off with Sununu winning the open seat in New Hampshire. Now, Shaheen is looking to take the seat away from Sununu in a state that is turning blue.
Predicted Winner: Jeanne Shaheen (D) (9.6 point lead)

6) North Carolina – Kay Hagan (D) vs. Elizabeth Dole (R)

Snapshot: This has been a rather controversial race as voters have seen Dole call Hagan “godless”. However, Senator Obama has turned this state into a toss up state, and polling has shown a very tight race for the Senate seat.
Predicted Winner: Toss Up (Hagan leads by 4.3 points)

7) Oregon – Jeff Merkley (D) vs. Gordon Smith (R)

Snapshot: Smith has received low approval ratings as of late and is in a battle for his seat in the Senate. A state that is decidely for Senator Obama could very well oust Smith and put Merkley into his seat.
Predicted Winner: Toss Up (Merkley leads by 5.3 points)

8 ) Minnesota – Al Franken (D) vs. Norman Coleman (R)

Snapshot: The first race we’ve encountered that shows the incumbent in the lead. Franken has made a play at Coleman’s chair, causing an unlikely upset in a state that is known for going with the unlikely candidate.
Predicted Winner: Toss Up (Coleman leads by 2.8 points)

9) Georgia – Jim Martin (D) vs. Saxby Chambliss (R)

Snapshot: This is a seat that was thought to be won easily by Chambliss, but Martin has made a run at the seat held by the veteran Republican Senator. With Senator Obama bringing Georgia into play, it’s made a difficult race for Chambliss.
Predicted Winner: Toss Up (Chambliss leads by 3.8 points)

10) Kentucky – Bruce Lunsford (D) vs. Mitch McConnell (R)

Snapshot: McConnell is the Senate Minority Leader, but is facing a difficult challenger in Lunsford in a state that is expected to go with McCain in the election.
Predicted Winner: Toss Up (McConnell Leads by 5.7 points)

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First Round of News: November 4th

November 4, 2008 at 8:19 am (Morning News) (, , , )

- Today is Election Day and Polls Open in Historic Fashion: “People in the isolated New Hampshire village of Dixville Notch cast their ballots just after midnight. The village, home to around 75 residents, has opened its polls shortly after midnight each election day since 1960, drawing national media attention for being the first place in the country to make its presidential preferences known. Democrat Barack Obama won 15 of 21 votes cast, and Republican John McCain won six votes. It was the first time since 1968 that the village leaned Democratic in an election.”

- Networks May Call Race Before Voting is Complete: “A senior vice president of CBS News, Paul Friedman, said the prospects for Barack Obama or John McCain meeting the minimum threshold of electoral votes could be clear as soon as 8 p.m. — before polls in even New York and Rhode Island close, let alone those in Texas and California. At such a moment, determined from a combination of polling data and samples of actual votes, the network could share its preliminary projection with viewers, Mr. Friedman said.”

- Senator Obama’s Rally Tonight Will Be Unprecedented: “Security precautions and logistics have steadily whittled away the size of the crowd expected at the event. Where the gathering once seemed likely to swell on warm weather and high hopes for a hometown candidate, public safety officials doused expectations by restricting which parts of the park will be open and saying they would turn away people if the crowd was too big and unruly. Still, Tuesday night’s rally promises to lure 100,000 or more, and participants will have  a standing-room-only chance at witnessing history.”

- Campaigns Send Lawyers to Watch Polls: “It’s not quite “one man, one vote, one lawyer” this election year, but it’s pretty close. Platoons of legal experts have converged on the nation’s so-called swing states, ready to litigate if and when voting irregularities manifest themselves in Tuesday’s presidential balloting.”

- Democrats Eye Gains in House, Senate: “Democrats are eyeing election gains Tuesday to build a crushing majority in the House and a filibuster-proof majority in the Senate, a predominance no party has wielded since the Democrat-run Congress 30 years ago during President Jimmy Carter’s administration. They need to pick up nine Senate seats to reach the magic 60-vote majority that could break filibusters and ram bills through the chamber, and at least 11 seats currently held by Republicans are in play this year.”

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The Changing Election’s Final Electoral Map

November 4, 2008 at 1:20 am (Polls) (, , )

On Saturday Evening, we released our first ever Electoral Map, cultivated from polling averages and other Electoral Maps that had been released at that point. Now that we’re less than 20 hours until the first poll closes, we’re in a better position to lay out the map and tell just how everything is going to go down on Tuesday Evening. This is going to use the final polls that have been released as well as the final Electoral Maps that have been released by CNN, Real Clear Politics, and NBC News.

First, let’s take a look at the final numbers breakdown from those Electoral Maps. As of Monday evening, here’s how it all looks:

CNN Electoral Map

Senator Obama: 210 Votes (Safe), 81 Votes (Leaning), 291 Votes (Total)
Senator McCain: 121 Votes (Safe), 36 Votes (Leaning), 157 Votes (Total)
Toss Up: 90 Votes (Total)

Real Clear Politics Electoral Map

Senator Obama: 228 Votes (Safe), 50 Votes (Leaning), 278 Votes (Total)
Senator McCain: 118 Votes (Safe), 14 Votes (Leaning), 132 Votes (Total)
Toss Up: 128 Votes (Total)

NBC Electoral Map

Senator Obama: 227 Votes (Safe), 59 Votes (Leaning), 286 Votes (Total)
Senator McCain: 123 Votes (Safe), 34 Votes (Leaning), 157Votes (Total)
Toss Up: 95 Votes (Total)

As of Sunday evening, here is how my numbers looked:

Senator Obama: 239 Electoral Votes
Senator McCain: 126 Electoral Votes
Toss Up: 184 Electoral Votes

Polls have been coming out crazy, the latest showing a national poll from CNN that Senator Obama has maintained his lead up to his point at seven points heading into tomorrow. On top of that, a series of last minute Poll of Polls from CNN showed a variety of states in different positions, namely states that are typically “red” that Senator McCain is having to fight for.

Going back to the Electoral Maps, these are the states that were deemed safely in Senator Obama’s column on Saturday evening in my map:

California (55)
Conneticut (7)
District of Colombia (3)
Delaware (3)
Hawaii (4)
Illinois (21)
Iowa (7)
Maine (4)
Maryland (10)
Massachusetts (12)
Michigan (17)
Minnesota (10)
New Hampshire (4)
New Jersey (15)
New York (31)
Oregon (7)
Rhode Island (4)
Vermont (3)
Washington (11)
Wisconsin (11)

The biggest change that we saw from Minnesota is the fact that it went Solid Obama to Likely Obama on one Electoral Map, but the poll average on that state is still 10 points, thus we’re not taking it out of Obama’s column. Now, let’s take a look at Senator McCain’s states:

Arkansas (3)
Alaska (9)
Idaho (4)
Kansas (6)
Kentucky (8)
Louisiana (9)
Mississippi (6)
Nebraska (5)
Oklahoma (7)
South Carolina (8)
South Dakota (3)
Tennessee (11)
Texas (34)
Utah (5)
West Virginia (5)
Wyoming (3)

Now, nothing on McCain’s map has changed drastically either. Thus, at this point, Senator Obama and Senator McCain have yet to lose any points. Let’s see though if either has gained any points based off of recent polling or any changes in the Electoral Map. Let us look at our Battleground States first and then we’ll go from there as we update you on the polling averages:

Arizona (10)
Colorado (9)
Florida (27)
Georgia (15)
Indiana (11)
Missouri (11)
Montana (11)
New Mexico (5)
Nevada (5)
North Carolina (15)
North Dakota (3)
Ohio (20)
Pennsylvania (21)
Virginia (21)

Recent polls have put Arizona still in favor of Senator McCain, but by an average of 4 points. That difference is within the margin of error, thus it says as a Toss-Up state. Over in Colorado, we’ve seen Senator Obama maintain a 5.5 point average, and even according to CNN he is leading by 7 points over there. With Colorado in Obama’s column in each Electoral Map and his average lead, we’ve been able to toss Colorado into Senator Obama’s column, giving him an additional 9 points. Florida continues to be a rather tight contest as one average shows 2 points while a recent CNN Poll of Polls shows Senator Obama up by 4 points, within the margin of error. Because of that, we will be leaving Florida as a Toss Up state. Georgia has seen an average of 4 points across RCP while CNN is showing their most recent poll at 5 points. Because of the historical data on their and the slight advantage by Senator McCain, we have put that state within his column, giving him an extra 15 points.

From there, we will move to Indiana which is in a statistical deadheat and will be leaving that as a Toss Up state. Missouri has been another state that has been back and forth between the two candidates and much like Indiana, is all tied up as of today and will be left as a Toss Up state. Montana is a traditionally “red” state that has come into play as of late, and will be left as a Toss Up state going into tomorrow even with Senator McCain with a 4 point lead as it’s within the margin of error. New Mexico was considered a Toss Up state in our last poll, but recently with polling that shows Senator Obama with a comfortable lead there, 8 points, we’ve decided to put those 5 Electoral Votes into Senator Obama’s column. We can also put Nevada’s 5 Electoral Votes into Senator Obama’s column as the average marging is around 6 points and all three Electoral Maps have put Nevada into the Obama column.

That brings us to North Carolina where we’ve seen Senator Obama bring the traditionally “red” state within his grasps. Even with Senator McCain leading in the polls, we’re leaving North Carolina as a Toss Up state. Moving to North Dakota, we’re leaving that state as a Toss Up state in the final hours of the Election. That leaves us with three more huge Battleground States. First up, Ohio which one poll has Senator McCain up by 3 points while another poll has Senator Obama up by 3 points. This huge state will be left in the Toss Up column until tomorrow evening. Moving on, we have Pennsylvania which we have moved into Senator Obama’s column as he’s leading the state by an average of 7 points, giving Senator Obama another 21 Electoral Votes. Finally, we have Virginia, a state that is one of the final battlegrounds in this 2008 Election, and is currently being lead by Senator Obama by an average of 4 points. Even with that lead and two out of the three maps having it in Senator Obama’s column, we’re leaving that a Toss Up state.

Let’s now take a look at where these two are in terms of Electoral Votes:

Senator Obama: 279 Electoral Votes
Senator McCain: 141 Electoral Votes
Toss Up: 129 Electoral Votes

With that, technically Senator Obama would clinch the nomination. Let’s take a look at our final Battleground States.

Arizona (10)
Florida (27)
Indiana (11)
Missouri (11)
Montana (11)
North Carolina (15)
North Dakota (3)
Ohio (20)
Virginia (21)

Once we have more information on these states, we’ll update our map. However, at this time we do feel like Senator Obama would win those states. Of course, anything could happen tomorrow, but it’s going to be increasingly difficult for polling data to be wrong time and time again. As the Exit Polls come out tomorrow, we hope to be able to update a few states into a column, but that might not happen until the results are actually released for each state.

More tomorrow.

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